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This builds on the 5.3 percent increase in 2017, the largest year-over-year increase since the end of the Great Recession in 2010.
“Our forecast reflects the overall strength of the industry,” NRF president and CEO Matthew Shay said. “Thanks to a healthy economy and strong consumer confidence, we believe that this holiday season will continue to reflect the growth we’ve seen over the past year.”
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Concerns about the trade wars effects on consumer spending still loom, but Shay said he is optimistic that increased economic activity will continue through the rest of the year.
NRF expects retail spending for the entire year to increase at least 4.5 percent.
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